Nigerians’ confidence in APC, PDP, INEC ahead of 2019 General Elections


Since 2014, the All Progressive Congress and People’s Democratic Party have been dominating Nigeria’s political space with their members engaging in different political permutations using different tactics ahead of 2015 general elections and bye elections held across the country between 2016 and 2017. This year, the two parties will slug it out in Ekiti and Osun states in the South-West region for the governorship elections, which many has been described as litmus test for the ruling All Progressive Congress in preparation for 2019 general elections.
Like the People’s Democratic Party that crisis divided in 2014, the ruling party recently had its splinter group, mostly of the nPDP members extraction who joined then CPC, ANPP and ACN in 2014 to form the merger party that unseated the PDP during presidential election.
In his 14 paragraphs speech, Alhaji Buba Galadima, national chairman of the splinter group dubbed Reformed – All Progressives Congress (R-APC), said: “The APC has run a rudderless, inept and incompetent government that has failed to deliver good governance to the Nigerian people. It has rather imposed dictatorship, impunity, abuse of power, complete abdication of constitutional and statutory responsibilities, infidelity to the rule of law and constitutionalism.”
From members of the ruling party to the People’s Democratic Party, the key opposition, different views have trailed the emerged division in the APC. Adams Oshiomhole, the newly elected chairman of APC claimed that the R-APC members were mercenaries hired to destabilise the APC, assuring President Muhammadu Buhari that the party will be victorious in 2019 without the group. Some members who reacted to the chairman’s comment on the group believe that the group comprised genuine members of the party interested in retrieving the party from usurpers.
As the 2019 election approaches, Infoprations examined Nigerians especially voters level of trust in the political parties and electoral umpire. Analysis shows that public trust in the Independent National Electoral Commission from 2014 to 2017 was discouraging while it was neither encouraging nor discouraging for the two political parties. Nigerians’ level of distrust in the electoral body was 98.9% during the period. Analysis reveals that the level of distrust is lower in 2014 than 2015. In 2016 and 2017, Nigerians’ distrust level increased.  

By 1.4% and 19.3%, Nigerians were neither trusting nor distrusting the two parties. However, the two parties had lower negative distrustful perception in 2014 and 2015 than in 2016 and 2017. Surprising insight from the analysis is that Nigerians usually have minimal distrust in political parties and politicians when general election approaches than after the election. It has also emerged that Nigerians do not believe in the electoral body when it is expected to conduct elections for elective offices across the country.


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