From
the beginning of this year, the race to the elections in Osun and Ekiti States
has been attracting a lot of permutations and different narratives on who
should be in the Government Houses of the two states. As the incumbents keep
developing and fine-tuning their strategies towards anointing who succeeds them,
concerned electorates and groups are not rest in agitating for selection of
candidates from their regions, cities or towns.
In
Osun State, the narrative has been that the next governor of the state should
come from the Osun West Region. This has been the agitation of several
political interest groups especially the youths from the region. They felt that
the region has been marginalized because only the late Senator Isiaka Adeleke
hailed
from Osun West Senatorial District, but his governance was truncated owing to
the aborted Third Republic.
The youths from one of
the cities in the region have been saying that any political party that failed
to choose candidate for the September 22 gubernatorial election from their city
will lose
over 100,000 votes. Agitation
also rages on social media, where some concerned citizens of the region
have been mobilizing towards the actualization of ‘It is the turn of Osun West’
agenda.
From the political
analysts and prominent politicians in the state, Osun West needs to be
considered for the coveted seat in the state because the region has contributed
significantly to state development since its creation. Some believe that in
terms of gaining significant results during elections, the region usually have
more votes than other regions. According to them, the place of the region in
the state political history cannot be neglected.
Beyond this, the region
has competent and capable candidates who would sustain the gains recorded by
the previous administrations. For those who against
the “Osun West Agenda”, who becomes governor should not be the matter of
region. Every region should be allowed to contest. At the same time, emphasis
should be on competency and capability of the aspirants. If the place of the
region in terms of previous elections’ performance has to be considered, where
should the candidate come from?
Where the candidate should come from?
In
2014, the ruling party and the main opposition, People’s Democratic Party, had
the highest and the lowest votes from Osun West 1 comprising Ayedire, Iwo and
Ola-Oluwa. For the two parties, the highest votes were recorded in Iwo, the
headquarters of Osun West Region while the lowest votes equally came from
Ayedire and Ola-Oluwa.
Further
analysis shows that three local councils in each division within the region
have potential of ensuring victory for the All Progressive Congress and People’s
Democratic Party in September 22 election. In the first Cluster for the APC,
Ola-Oluwa, Ede North and Ayedaade are the councils the candidate should emerge
from. The party also has the chance of winning the election if the candidate is
chose from Iwo, Isokan or Ede South.
For
the PDP, Iwo, Ayedaade and Ede North should be considered first while Ayedire,
Isokan and Ede South should be the second unit of selecting candidate. However,
analysis suggests that Cluster 2 is better for APC than Cluster 1 while Cluster 1 is better for PDP than Cluster
2.
This analysis is quite interesting and in-depth. I wish "they" read this. The electorates especially. Thumbs up.
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