Total addressable voters in Nigeria and the monetary worth of electorate in 2019 general elections



In 2017, 31 out of the 54 African countries announced their readiness to conduct general elections between 2018 and 2019. Nationals of other countries and civil societies in the world are watching Algeria, Mauritania, Somalia, Tunisia, Guinea-Bissau, Mozambique, Namibia, Nigeria and Senegal as they are preparing for the next general elections in 2019. Citizens of voting age in these countries are expected to choose their representatives for the presidential, governorship and parliamentary positions.
In each country, there are total addressable voters for the politicians and their parties. Both the politicians and parties will inform the electorate about their programmes and while they should be the prime choice.  In Nigeria, available statistics reveals that the total number of registered voters as at January 2018 is 73,944,312.
Region by region analysis shows that the north-west region has the highest number of voters (18,505,984) followed by the south-west region, which has 14,626,800 while the south-south region has 11,101,093.  The north-central has 10,586,965 registered voters, while the north-east zone has 9,929,015. South-east region is the only zone with the least registered voters (8,293,093). Meanwhile, the Independent National Electoral Commission, the country electoral body, expects the registered voters to reach 80 million before the end of the year.
No doubt, Nigerian politicians have market where they will sell their programmes. Political parties equally have places where they will gain significant share of votes. In an ideal democratic setting, voters as buyers of programmes or manifestoes of politicians and parties are not expected to get monetary values for offering their votes. The reward for voting should be qualitative leadership and good governance that left no citizen behind today and in the future.
While seeking citizens’ votes, politicians and parties should not involve in political clientelism. Monetizing votes or buying votes is an insult to the sensibility of the voters. As demeaning as it is, money-induced partial and full victory that occurred during Ekiti State 2018 governorship election, where parties through their agents and members paid voters between N4, 000 and N5, 000 has shown that Nigerian voters are for sale in 2019. What transpired in Ekiti state is not peculiar to Nigeria. It is a generational issue with the developing countries, most especially in Africa.


Since the world has been informed of the vote-buying spree that characterised the election, the parties, the candidates and agents have been economical in the blame game. No individual or party is ready to say I or my party was the one who or that used the lost Knife. As Nigerians look forward to the 2019 general elections with the keen interest from other countries in the world, it appears that voters would be bought by the politicians and their parties. If this happens, the total worth of the Nigerian electorate would be N365, 214,750,000 going by the average N5, 000 experimented during the Ekiti State governorship election.
Politicians and parties know the real problems of majority of the voters. Over the years, they have been capitalizing on the less educated electorate and high level of poverty among the populace who actually vote during elections. Nigeria is a country where lower class keeps increasing every year. People in the lower middle class of the country’s pyramid are not spare.   

The gains, consequences and solutions

Electorates are yet to come to the term that collecting money before voting will not change the level of inequality that has been created by lack of good leadership and qualitative development. Voters lose while the politicians benefit now and in the future. The Independent National Electoral Commission, as an umpire in the electoral process, has promised to investigate the voting buying spree. Local and international electoral organisations have also condemned the act.  But, can Nigeria curb buying of votes during elections?
Nigerians are likely to wait for thousand years to get answers to this question. It will be difficult to get the right answers now because the political leaders and institutions are not ready to take a cue from the United States and United Kingdom which had similar experience in 19th century. In the two countries, parties gave voters cash, food, alcohol, health care, poverty relief, and myriad other benefits in exchange for their votes. To gain leverage over voters, parties gathered information about their debts, their crimes, even their infidelities.

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