Credit: Google Trends, Infoprations Analysis 2018 |
The last 10 years in Nigeria points to the fact that the facility management industry is growing beyond the practitioners’ expectations. The growth has been premised on the multidisciplinary nature of the industry, which allows aggregation and coordination of other professionals in the built environment.
For
instance, apart from measuring the industry impact on the Gross Domestic
Product within the administrative and support services, the industry have made
significant offerings to the electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning
supply’s contributions to the real GDP growth from 2016 to the second quarter
of 2018.
Like
other industries in Nigeria, the facility management industry is not impervious
from various risks. As 2019 draws near, Infoprations
identifies potential risks that would affect performance of players and the
growth of the industry. From the analysis, it emerged that FM industry is most
likely to experience financial, regulatory, quality, employee, sustainability
and political risks. For Q1 to Q3, 2018 business periods, Infoprations’ risk trends analysis shows that risk determines public’s
interest in the industry by 65.4%.
Financial risk
Players in the industry have to contend with the rising inflation
rate, which started in September, 2018. The previous rates show that the
country enjoyed 18 months consecutive disinflation. In August, it rose slightly
from 11.14% to 11.23% for the September period. The increase has mostly been
linked with the rising food inflation. Expectation is that FM companies will
share from the consequences of the increase in procurement of materials and
operational activities. For the companies that import materials, dollar scarcity
and naira exchange rate fluctuation would have significant influence on
solutions delivery. Post-2019 elections will be characterised by weak credit and
sluggish economic growth because whoever emerges as the President will concentrate
on working out institutional framework for his or her financial and economic
policies implementation. Hence, the industry growth in the first and second quarters
of 2019 would be retarded.
Regulatory risk
The
recent passage of the Facility Management Council of Nigeria Bill by the Senate
will be a blessing in disguise for the players if the oppositions’ views continue
in 2019. Other professionals have seen the emergence of the Bill, which aimed
at registering persons and organisations seeking to practice facility management,
set regulations and standards as threat to their own councils and practices. The
Nigeria Institute of Estate Surveyors and Valuers as the main body opposing the
council would not relent on its position that NIESV has the sole responsibility
of regulating facilities management in the country. NIESV will deploy its
resources towards retaining the Act that gives the role. This and the notion
that the industry is young to have a council will deny the industry its due
recognition by the public, especially the government at all levels. The consequence
would be huge on the professionalism and the place of the industry in national
development.
As
long as the industry lacks own regulatory council in 2019, players will be
forced to accept the Estate Surveyors and Valuers Registration
Board of Nigeria’s new Adhesive Stamp. The stamp will become operational from
January 1, 2019. Property and Facilities Management Control Agreements must
carry the stamp.
Quality risk
By
2019, the users of existing FM solutions would be more aggressive in requesting
for quality and sustainable solutions as they increase in knowledge and essence
of facility management towards cost reduction and operational efficiency. The
year 2019 will be a decisive one for the organisational buyers who make final
decisions on FM solutions as the need to reduce operational cost would be
tensed in the first and second quarters because of political uncertainties that
would characterise the economy after 2019 general elections. Any company that
toy with quality in the face of reducing clients’ operational cost would
equally pay for it in the long run. There should be a balance in cost reduction
and quality solution delivery.
For
the property and facility managers at various estates in the country, residents
and homeowners would continue their agitation for low service charge fee in
2019. The year 2018 has already pointed to this fact. Concerned
user-stakeholders would form associations towards public awareness of
exorbitant service charges, which will draw government’s attention particularly
the Federal Government.
Employee risk
This risk will be in two-folds. The first
fold is that key players in the industry are likely to lose their trained staff
to the new FM companies that would be established in 2019. Already, prospective
entrepreneurs are studying the industry with the intent of tapping from the
smart facilities management solutions that would surface ahead of 2020 Lagos
Smart City. Existing companies would also lose employees to key players with
better strategies for talent attraction.
In the absence of the core FM
professionals, who understand the nitty-gritty of FM solutions, many companies
will not have option than employing professionals from other built sectors. One
main consequence of this action is complexity in coordinating the hired staff
towards sustainable solutions delivery. Operations Managers have to devise
short term strategies for the integration in order to enhance value delivery
and separate the industry from other professions, claiming superiority over the
industry. Already, analysis has shown that the
world’s interest in facility
management in the
last 5 years is incomparable with asset and property management, indicating
that separation of FM from building management seems untangle. The second fold
is that knowledge-workers will play crucial roles in quality and sustainable solutions
individuals and businesses will demand in the coming year. Clients will entrust
their facilities in the hands of businesses that have knowledge-workers,
knowledge-driven process and solutions. The key remedy is aggressive investment
in process, smart devices and training to attain greater operational efficiency
and productivity.
Sustainability risk
The
highlighted financial risk and emerging environmental issues occasioned by the
need for businesses to work towards attainment of the Sustainable Development
Goals remain critical threats to the industry. The industry is expected to have
strategic climate change mitigation plan in addition to sustainability facility
management which optimises economic, environmental and social benefits as the
country works towards the SDGs realisation. To get out of this risk, senior
executives and managers need to identify training, equipment, knowledge and
awareness gaps within sustainability components and devise appropriate
strategies before 2019.
Political risk
By
2019, Nigeria will celebrate 20 years of returning to democratic governance. In
February, general elections will hold. This has implications for business
growth. During the election period, business activities would be grounded due to
political activities. The political uncertainties are on the increase. Defections
and consequences of failed primary elections of the ruling party and others are
gradually shutting down business activities ahead of the general elections. Cities
like Lagos and Port-Harcourt where FM thrives most are likely to experience high
political tensions. FM businesses in these cities should expect low growth in
the first and second quarters.
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